Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.187807 0.200169 0.213122 0.227741 0.243822 0.261019 0.280860
2025-05-11 0.161104 0.179265 0.199509 0.223919 0.252787 0.286132 0.327992
2025-05-18 0.143546 0.164760 0.189505 0.220878 0.260150 0.308459 0.373643
2025-05-25 0.129667 0.152304 0.179625 0.215631 0.262785 0.323863 0.411497
2025-06-01 0.119855 0.143471 0.172792 0.212723 0.267102 0.340851 0.452813
2025-06-08 0.112163 0.136432 0.167301 0.210553 0.271530 0.357746 0.495734
2025-06-15 0.107648 0.132975 0.165952 0.213472 0.282838 0.385202 0.558454
2025-06-22 0.101076 0.126278 0.159663 0.208792 0.282429 0.394770 0.593591
2025-06-29 0.094401 0.118997 0.152031 0.201470 0.277184 0.395912 0.614124
2025-07-06 0.088835 0.112899 0.145628 0.195381 0.273128 0.398267 0.636832
2025-07-13 0.086627 0.111285 0.145387 0.198320 0.283326 0.425163 0.709893
2025-07-20 0.084577 0.109748 0.145111 0.201100 0.293412 0.452974 0.790433
2025-07-27 0.081725 0.107006 0.143026 0.201096 0.299186 0.474446 0.864225
2025-08-03 0.078612 0.103759 0.140043 0.199498 0.302181 0.491390 0.932908
2025-08-10 0.075604 0.100519 0.136884 0.197372 0.304020 0.506350 1.001023
2025-08-17 0.072278 0.096656 0.132566 0.193023 0.301418 0.512065 1.047731
2025-08-24 0.069653 0.093719 0.129518 0.190572 0.302039 0.524427 1.115392
2025-08-31 0.067357 0.091174 0.126942 0.188724 0.303570 0.538853 1.193134
2025-09-07 0.066201 0.090293 0.126919 0.191227 0.313600 0.573244 1.341290
2025-09-14 0.063710 0.087266 0.123324 0.187220 0.310448 0.577262 1.396046
2025-09-21 0.060881 0.083624 0.118593 0.180940 0.302248 0.568489 1.406162
2025-09-28 0.058421 0.080479 0.114557 0.175706 0.295807 0.563245 1.427740
2025-10-05 0.057673 0.079978 0.114809 0.178233 0.305530 0.598741 1.609870